Quick View: Performance Report - Hypothetical
Trading System: KF-ES-W Trader
Developer: Keith Fitschen
Portfolio Size: $28,000
Program Overview:
A multiple time frame strategy searches for the likely trend of the day. Always entering in the direction of the trend and using stops to exit if the prediction is wrong. The strategy allows for re-entries and can hold positions overnight.
Price: Contact Broker (800)894-8194
Portfolio Diversification
2 SectorsGrains(1) Indices(1)
Yearly Hypothetical Performance & Risk Analysis on a $28,000 Investment
 2008200920102011Average
Annual $ Returns$43,375$14,565$-3,878$11,948$16,503
Annual % Return154.91%52.02%-13.85%42.67%
Max DrawDown$-2,665$-3,488$-8,633$-5,693$-5,119
Hot Stats
Hypothetical Performance Data
2011 (YTD)
$11,948
Rolling 12 Month
$8,775
Rolling 36 Month
$65,538
Avg. 12 Month $
$8,072
Avg. 36 Month $
$56,000
Time Window Analysis
      6 Month 12 Month 24 Month 36 Month 5 Years
  Latest   16.44% 37.10% 16.33% 165.98% 0.00%
  Count   32 26 14 2
  Percent Profitable   71.88% 61.54% 100.00% 100.00% 0%
  Average   22.61% 28.83% 51.21% 200.00% 0%
  Average Gain   39.49% 59.59% 51.21% 200.00% 0%
  Average Loss   -20.54% -20.39% 0% 0% 0%
  Best Period   169.85% 214.62% 202.69% 234.02% 0.00%
  Worst Period   -43.81% -38.91% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Benchmarks Growth of $1000 since 7/2008
Benchmarks Growth of $1000 since 7/2008
Name
Vami
Correlation
KF-ES-W Trader
3,358
Barra S&P 500
1,074
-0.1981
CSFB Managed Futures
994
-0.0007
ML 90 Day T-Bill
1,022
0.0383
Historical Yearly Averages Since 7/2008 (%)
 %Avg GainMax GainAvg RiskMax Risk
KF-ES-W Trader54.28153.22-18.28-30.83
Barra S&P 5008.6834.44-10.82-33.53
CSFB Managed Futures6.0319.19-7.37-18.72
ML 90 Day T-Bill3.305.590.00-0.00
How to Get Stated
About the Introducing Brokers
About Your Broker
Financial Safeguards
Regulatory Agencies
Why Trade Futures
Trading Systems Explained
Additional Risk Disclosures
The above trading system uses $35 RT for commission and slippage on a round turn basis. The cost or lease of the system is NOT factored into the performance values. All trades are based on 1 contract with profits NOT being reinvested. No management or incentive fees are charged. The method used to determine purchase and sale prices for each trade is established by a mathematical computation that is proprietary to the individual system developer.

THE PERFORMANCE TABLES AND RESULTS OF THE TRADING SYSTEMS PRESENTED IN THIS REPORT ARE HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. The CFTC requires the following disclosure statement in reference to hypothetical results.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.