Quick View: Performance Report - Hypothetical
Trading System: Early Bird III
Developer: Lincoln Fiske
Portfolio Size: $38,000
Program Overview:
The EarlyBird day trading system looks for a particular type of volatility, market strength, and directionality that is very predictive of days likely to have strong swings. Rather than indicators, time and price patterns determine these tradable days. By being selective, EarlyBird reduces risk by not overtrading and by participating on days when volume propels price, which in our opinion increases the likelihood of profitable trades.
Price: Contact Broker (800)894-8194
Portfolio Diversification
1 SectorsIndices(2)
Yearly Hypothetical Performance & Risk Analysis on a $38,000 Investment
 2008200920102011Average
Annual $ Returns$37,670$-9,808$-6,095$203$5,493
Annual % Return99.13%-25.81%-16.04%0.53%
Max DrawDown$-1,268$-11,310$-5,033$-3,760$-5,343
Hot Stats
Hypothetical Performance Data
2011 (YTD)
$ 202
Rolling 12 Month
-$3,220
Rolling 36 Month
$24,255
Avg. 12 Month $
-$1,680
Avg. 36 Month $
$24,882
Time Window Analysis
      6 Month 12 Month 24 Month 36 Month 5 Years
  Latest   -5.20% -4.07% -17.70% 67.15% 0.00%
  Count   32 26 14 2
  Percent Profitable   21.88% 15.38% 21.43% 100.00% 0%
  Average   2.58% -4.42% -10.31% 65.48% 0%
  Average Gain   44.97% 57.92% 61.03% 65.48% 0%
  Average Loss   -9.29% -15.75% -29.77% 0% 0%
  Best Period   109.09% 88.12% 72.29% 67.15% 0.00%
  Worst Period   -22.49% -32.56% -44.70% 0.00% 0.00%
Benchmarks Growth of $1000 since 7/2008
Benchmarks Growth of $1000 since 7/2008
Name
Vami
Correlation
Early Bird III
1,578
Barra S&P 500
1,074
-0.2080
CSFB Managed Futures
994
0.0014
ML 90 Day T-Bill
1,022
0.0345
Historical Yearly Averages Since 7/2008 (%)
 %Avg GainMax GainAvg RiskMax Risk
Early Bird III15.39105.14-14.06-29.76
Barra S&P 5008.6834.44-10.82-33.53
CSFB Managed Futures6.0319.19-7.37-18.72
ML 90 Day T-Bill3.305.590.00-0.00
How to Get Stated
About the Introducing Brokers
About Your Broker
Financial Safeguards
Regulatory Agencies
Why Trade Futures
Trading Systems Explained
Additional Risk Disclosures
The above trading system uses $37 RT for commission and slippage on a round turn basis. The cost or lease of the system is NOT factored into the performance values. All trades are based on 1 contract with profits NOT being reinvested. No management or incentive fees are charged. The method used to determine purchase and sale prices for each trade is established by a mathematical computation that is proprietary to the individual system developer.

THE PERFORMANCE TABLES AND RESULTS OF THE TRADING SYSTEMS PRESENTED IN THIS REPORT ARE HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. The CFTC requires the following disclosure statement in reference to hypothetical results.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.