Quick View: Performance Report - Hypothetical
Trading System: Tzar
Developer: Alfaranda CTA
Portfolio Size: $334,000
Program Overview:
TZAR combines aspects of both a technical trend and contra-trend trading system into one platform. Technical indicators are used to inform the system-logic as to how it should various market conditions. This unique process evaluates market data to determine the potential life-cycle of a trend or consolidation pattern and generates trading instructions based on that evaluation. TZAR is also suited to trade both long and short with no predetermined bias in either direction. On average, TZAR takes some 20/22 trades per market per year ( excluding rollovers ) and is in the market around 94% of the trading time.
Price: Contact Broker (800)894-8194
Portfolio Diversification
1 SectorsIndecies(4)
Yearly Hypothetical Performance & Risk Analysis on a $334,000 Investment
 199719981999200020012002200320042005Average
Annual $ Returns$259,365$70,015$426,187$586,790$193,575$273,990$157,680$47,450$-53,075$217,997
Annual % Return77.65%20.96%127.60%175.69%57.96%82.03%47.21%14.21%-15.89%
Max DrawDown$-1$-56,685$-770$-108,825$-45,180$-840$-11,925$-39,455$-111,260$-41,660
Hot Stats
Hypothetical Performance Data
2005 (YTD)
-$53,075
Rolling 12 Month
-$47,120
Rolling 36 Month
$157,035
Avg. 12 Month $
$187,775
Avg. 36 Month $
$681,761
Time Window Analysis
      6 Month 12 Month 24 Month 36 Month 5 Years
  Latest   -16.48% -15.87% -1.66% 45.54% 185.54%
  Count   134 128 116 104 80
  Percent Profitable   77.61% 85.16% 93.10% 100.00% 100.00%
  Average   26.32% 56.22% 123.92% 204.12% 382.17%
  Average Gain   35.96% 66.90% 133.37% 204.12% 382.17%
  Average Loss   -7.12% -5.03% -3.73% 0% 0%
  Best Period   173.85% 206.86% 318.78% 381.56% 503.85%
  Worst Period   -33.30% -22.55% -12.40% 0.00% 0.00%
Benchmarks Growth of $1000 since 5/1994
Benchmarks Growth of $1000 since 5/1994
Name
Vami
Correlation
Tzar
6,851
Barra S&P 500
2,340
0.6565
CSFB Managed Futures
1,778
0.6270
ML 90 Day T-Bill
1,454
0.5451
Historical Yearly Averages Since 5/1994 (%)
 %Avg GainMax GainAvg RiskMax Risk
Tzar44.35147.12-11.15-33.31
Barra S&P 5009.7429.87-9.90-31.93
CSFB Managed Futures6.5519.19-7.68-18.72
ML 90 Day T-Bill3.535.590.00-0.00
How to Get Stated
Open A Futures Trading Account
Open A Forex Trading Account
Wire Instructions PDF
Systems Monitoring Agreement
About the Clearing Firm
About the Introducing Brokers
About Your Broker
Financial Safeguards
Regulatory Agencies
Why Trade Futures
Trading Systems Explained
Additional Risk Disclosures
The above trading system uses $75 RT for commssion and slippage on a round turn basis. The cost or lease of the system is NOT factored into the perfomance values.

THE PERFORMANCE TABLES AND RESULTS OF THE TRADING SYSTEMS PRESENTED IN THIS REPORT ARE HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED IN NATURE AND DOES NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. The CFTC requires the following disclosure statement in reference to hypothetical results.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.